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Monday, June 19, 2017

Trade Of The Week: Altisource Portfolio ($ASPS)


This week, sitting at the top of the “Trend Change Lubricant” Top List from Trade Ideas technology is ASPS. With a float of only 18 million shares, 67% of that is held by short sellers. ASPS had plenty of time to recover from the steep drop in sympathy to news in another company. The chart shows an ideal setup for this type of trade; a narrow range base looking to move higher out of that base with a high short float % to help fuel the breakout.

Note- The average daily volume on ASPS is a bit low at 132k shares but if the stock breaks out, relative volume could tell the story. It would be nice to see relative volume readings above 2.0 if the trade triggers. This would mean the stock is doing double the normal volume for the day.  If not, use your own discretion on volume.
chart 1
The entry is conditional of a trade at 22.12 just above the recent high of this tight range. The suggested stop is any trade below 20.45. The suggested target is simply a near term high at 25.35.  You can see on the chart below the graphical representation of risk and reward for this trade. As always use only the amount of shares that would equal your maximum dollar loss should ASPS trade below 20.45.
Footnote:   This is a table showing the maximum profit for all past 2017 Trades of the Week. Timing the top is impossible but this table shows how much alpha was possible when considering the exit of these positions. The trades outlined in red eventually hit their suggested stop prices, so you can see the importance of timing and harvesting profits along the way when you can, especially those that move above 10%.  
*Assumptions
Targets are not absolute. Targets involve timing. Profits can and should be harvested along the way.
Risk to Reward ratio ideal is 1:3
Trades of the week that do not reach entry prices are not considered live and are expired at the end of the current week. (ORCL and JNPR)
TOW Rules: 20% Rule.  If a performance is up 10% and gives back 20%, take the 8 and run. (Profit Save, Trailing Stop).
Stocks that gap up over the entry price are considered up to the discretion of the buyer as to the entry price (WETF)
Happy investing! 


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Investing is Inherently Risky There are risks inherent in all investments, which may make such investments unsuitable for certain persons. These include, for example, economic, political, currency exchange, rate fluctuations, and limited availability of information on international securities. You may lose all of your money trading and investing. Do NOT enter any trade without fully understanding the worst-case scenarios of that trade. And do NOT trade with money you cannot afford to lose. Past performance of an investment is not necessarily indicative of its future results. No assurance can be given that any implied recommendation will be profitable or will not be subject to losses. Hypothetical Results Are Reported Results and examples used in the Company’s advertisements, books, videos, websites, and other media—including on the Site and the Network—are, in some cases, based on hypothetical (simulated) trades. Plainly speaking, these trades were not actually executed. Hypothetical performance results have certain limitations. Unlike an actual performance record, hypothetical results do not represent actual trading. Also, since the trades have not been executed, the hypothetical results may have under-or-over compensation for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Hypothetical trading programs generally are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. Hypothetical results also do not account for commissions or slippage. The Company’s simulations assume purchase and sale prices believed to be attainable. Yet traders are going to be getting into trades at different times and using various exit approaches, which may result in different pricing and outcomes. You may or may not receive the best available price on the purchase or the sale of a position in actual trading. Information provided by the Company is not investment advice. The Company is not a registered investment adviser, stock broker, or brokerage. You agree that the Company does not represent, warrant, or take responsibility that any account will or is likely to achieve profit or losses similar to those shown. Examples published by the Company are selected for illustrative purposes only. They are not typical and do not represent the typical results of all stocks within the Company’s software or its individual scans and searches. No independent party has audited any hypothetical performance contained at this Web site, nor has any independent party undertaken to confirm that they reflect the trading method under the assumptions or conditions specified.
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