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Sunday, August 27, 2017

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Our Credo: What's Good for YOU!..Good For Us and vice versa!... Disclaimers Investing is Inherently Risky There are risks inherent in all investments, which may make such investments unsuitable for certain persons. These include, for example, economic, political, currency exchange, rate fluctuations, and limited availability of information on international securities. You may lose all of your money trading and investing. Do NOT enter any trade without fully understanding the worst-case scenarios of that trade. And do NOT trade with money you cannot afford to lose. Past performance of an investment is not necessarily indicative of its future results. No assurance can be given that any implied recommendation will be profitable or will not be subject to losses. Hypothetical Results Are Reported Results and examples used in the Company’s advertisements, books, videos, websites, and other media—including on the Site and the Network—are, in some cases, based on hypothetical (simulated) trades. Plainly speaking, these trades were not actually executed. Hypothetical performance results have certain limitations. Unlike an actual performance record, hypothetical results do not represent actual trading. Also, since the trades have not been executed, the hypothetical results may have under-or-over compensation for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Hypothetical trading programs generally are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. Hypothetical results also do not account for commissions or slippage. The Company’s simulations assume purchase and sale prices believed to be attainable. Yet traders are going to be getting into trades at different times and using various exit approaches, which may result in different pricing and outcomes. You may or may not receive the best available price on the purchase or the sale of a position in actual trading. Information provided by the Company is not investment advice. The Company is not a registered investment adviser, stock broker, or brokerage. You agree that the Company does not represent, warrant, or take responsibility that any account will or is likely to achieve profit or losses similar to those shown. Examples published by the Company are selected for illustrative purposes only. They are not typical and do not represent the typical results of all stocks within the Company’s software or its individual scans and searches. No independent party has audited any hypothetical performance contained at this Web site, nor has any independent party undertaken to confirm that they reflect the trading method under the assumptions or conditions specified.
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Tuesday, August 22, 2017

TRADE PLAN FOR TODAY: Hortonworks ($HDP)


Description

Hortonworks, Inc. creates, distributes, and supports a class of enterprise data management software solutions built on open source technology in the United States, the United Kingdom, and internationally. It offers Hortonworks Data Platform (HDP), an enterprise-scale data management platform that enables its customers to collect, store, process, and analyze existing and new data types without the need to replace their existing data center infrastructure; and Hortonworks DataFlow, an enterprise-scale data ingest platform to automate and secure Internet of anything data flows, as well as to collect, conduct, and curate real-time business insights and actions derived from data in motion, including sensors, machines, geolocation devices, clicks, server logs, and social feeds. The company also provides Hortonworks Sandbox, a personal, portable, and free to use Hadoop environment designed to offer the easiest way to get started with HDP; Azure HDInsight, a data cloud service that provides customers flexible big data environments on the Azure cloud; and Hortonworks Data Cloud for Amazon Web Services, a big data cloud service for analyzing and processing data, and enabling businesses to achieve insights quickly and with flexibility. In addition, it provides support subscription, and training and consulting services; a range of pre-configured solutions that deliver a combination of software and professional services in optimized bundles designed to help its customers derive targeted value for repeatable use cases; and cyber security and threat detection, as well as streaming analytics and Internet of Things solutions for customers in the telecommunications, financial services, energy, automotive, and manufacturing sectors. Hortonworks, Inc. was founded in 2011 and is headquartered in Santa Clara, California.

Disclaimer: We're not suggesting buying this featured company specifically - only suggesting it for further investor research. 

HDP$15.4800-0.2700% -1.7100Hortonworks
Sector : Computer and TechnologyIndustry : Internet - Software
  • Signal
  • Short Term Trend
  • Long Term Trend
  • BUY
  • UP
  • UP
Day:-1.71%Wk:6.54%Mo:18.71%Yrly:82.55%YTD:86.28%
Strength Rank:96DIV%:0.00PE:0.00EPS:-0.87ROE:-765.37%
Ann EPS Gro:-3.73%Last QTR EPS Gro:1.14%Sales Gro QTR:10.47%
Beta:1.67Mkt Cap:1BVolume:0.81MBook Value:-0.64Ex:NASDAQ

Long Term Trend

The long term trend of Hortonworks is UP indicating that HDP has experienced an UP trend for at least the past 180 trading days. Long term trends are key to understanding the starting point to the path of least resistance of a stocks price trend. The expected future trend bias is always strongest with the current trend.

Short Term Trend

The short term trend of Hortonworks is UPHDP has been undergoing a short term UP UP over the past 7-10 days.

Signal

The current signal for Hortonworks is BUY indicating that the stock could be Advancing in its trend. The current price trend is not Extreme. Stocks in extreme levels of price trend should be allowed to move out of the extreme range before a buy or sell decision should be made. As is the case for most trending momentum style stocks, much of the reasons price action is not often known until well into the price trend. But earnings growth and management efficiency are key components to a foundation to a sustainable uptrend. We will focus on fundamental indications that can build a case for reasons why the stock should continue its current trend.

Strength Rank

Rank is the rank of the stock vs. its peers. For example a Rank of 98 means the stock is out performing 98% of its peers over a 12 month period. A rank of 2 means the stock is outperforming 2% of its peers, in other words, 98% of its peers are out performing it. 98 is good, 2 is not so good. The current quarter is 40% of the weighting, so current performance is more significant to the rank.

The current rank for Hortonworks is 96, this means that HDP is out performing 96% of its peers. Stocks that have a rank of 80 or better, with support of all other analyses shown here, tend to advance the trend.

The 90 day trend of Rank 


ROE - Return on equity is a measure of financial efficiency, gauging how much profit a company is able to generate from the companys financial net worth (that is, assets minus liabilities). Look for an annual return on equity of at least 20%. That is the level that set apart the winning stocks from the ordinary. That doesn't always mean that a company with smaller ROE is a poor investment. Some big winners have of course been shy of 20% return on equity when they started their major up trends. When ROE is strong, it gives investors an indication that the company is better poised to continue a solid earnings performance. A high ROE is only part of the fundamentals a solid company should have. Superb earnings and sales growth, superior profit margins and big operating cash flow are other key elements investors must seek.

The Current ROE for Hortonworks is -765.37%, indicating HDP is currently functioning with Low financial efficiency.

The 12 month chart trend of ROE


Annual EPS Growth - Companies with annual earnings growth of more than 20% are more likely to become leaders in up trending markets. While 20% Annual EPS growth is the minimum you should look for, don't be afraid to seek even better results. Studies have shown that the greatest winners in the past 30 years had an average 30% annual EPS growth rate when they started their strong up trends. You also can look for three straight years of rising EPS growth, with an average of at least 25%. These performance results often imply that a company is growing fast even if the general economy is slowing down or even in recession.

The current Annual EPS Growth for Hortonworks is -3.73% which is less than the 30% average found is strong trending, fundamentally sound companies.

The 12 month chart trend of Annual EPS Growth


Quarterly EPS Growth - Outstanding earnings growth in the most recent quarters can be the single most important trait that identifies winners before they start their major price advances. Generally, the bigger the earnings growth, the better. Specifically, look for a company's earnings per share up at least 25-30% vs. the year-ago level in the most recent quarter or two. Gains of 50%, 100% or more are typical of strong market leaders even before they make their huge price moves. There's really nothing magic about this connection. Successful companies generate the strongest profit gains, regardless of the economic cycle. Even during periods when corporate profits are weak in general, you still find standouts that achieve massive earnings growth.

The current Quarterly EPS Growth for Hortonworks is 1.14% which is less than the 25% average found is strong trending stocks even during or before huge price moves.

The 12 month chart trend of Quarterly EPS Growth


Quarterly Sales growth - A company's annual and quarterly rate of increase in revenues (sales). A measure of growth and success as long as it is accompanied by an equally strong rate of increase in earnings per share. You want to see both in a potential investment. A company's quarterly EPS gain should be supported by an increase in revenue (sales) of at least 25% or at least by an acceleration in sales growth in the past few quarters. You also should watch out for earnings growth that comes amid falling sales. Companies with declining revenue often boost their EPS results through layoffs or other cost cuts, especially in an uncertain economic environment. But this isn't a sustainable approach, and it's definitely not as desirable as profit gains that come from higher revenue. Recent quarterly sales results are more critical when it comes to researching stocks.

The current Quarterly Sales Growth for Hortonworks is 10.47% which is less than the 25% average found is strong trending stocks.

The 12 month chart trend of Quarterly Sales Growth


Dividend Yield

Dividend yield is the annual dividend income per share received from a company divided by its current share price. Normally investors would like to see a dividend yield between 2% and 20% for a dividend paying company. The dividend yield is an important factor to consider when investing in dividend paying stocks. Dividend yield is a financial ratio that reflects the % of profits a company makes of the dividend payments over the course of a year. For example if a stock pays an annual dividend of $2 and is trading at $50 a share, it would have a dividend yield of 4%.

The current Dividend Yield for Hortonworks is 0.00.


Stocks Historical Trading Characteristics.

           Trade Stats for   HDP

Number of Trades7Trade Expectancy$79.54
Total Profit Amount$3309.45Trade Expectancy%0.8%
Total Loss Amount$3297.20Annual Trade Expectancy$477.23
Net Profit/Loss$12.26Annual Trade Expectancy%4.77%
Avg Profit on Winners$661.89Largest Profit$2004.14
Avg Loss on Losers$1648.60Largest Loss$1876.43
Total Net % Gain or Loss0.12%Avg Days in Trade39
Avg % Gain on Winners7.44%Avg Days between Trades16
Avg % Loss on Losers15.82%Longest nbr of consecutive Winners3
Reward to Risk Ratio0.47Longest nbr of consecutive Losers1
Number of Trades Per Year6Largest Drawdown-18.76%
Number of Winners5Avg Drawdown-15.82%
Number of Losers2
Winning Percentage%71.43%


Backtesting a stock can provide investors with critical statistical data. These results give you an informed perspective on how a stock trades within your chosen buying and selling method of analysis. The definition of trade expectancy is defined as: trade expectancy = (probability of win * average win) - (probability of loss * average loss). If the calculation returns a positive number, a trader should make money over time.

The average percentage gained on positive, money making trades was 7.44%. While the average percent loss on money losing trades was 15.82%.

Trade expectancy includes both winners and losers. Trade expectancy is displayed as a percentage. This backtest displays the dollar value, percentage, annual trade expectancy, and annual percent. Annual expectancy is the trade expectancy percentage multiplied by the number of trades per year.

The Trade expectancy % for HDP over the past year is 0.8%. The number of trades generated per year was 6 giving an Annual Trade Expectancy of 4.77%

The average days in a trade is 39 and the average days between trades is 16.

With any method of analysis that uses past performance, it can be said that past performance is not indication of future performance. What is does provide is a probabilistic look at a stock's price activity characteristics over time. 



The historical Profit and loss curve of a $10,000 shows



Our Credo: What's Good for YOU!..Good For Us and vice versa!... Disclaimers Investing is Inherently Risky There are risks inherent in all investments, which may make such investments unsuitable for certain persons. These include, for example, economic, political, currency exchange, rate fluctuations, and limited availability of information on international securities. You may lose all of your money trading and investing. Do NOT enter any trade without fully understanding the worst-case scenarios of that trade. And do NOT trade with money you cannot afford to lose. Past performance of an investment is not necessarily indicative of its future results. No assurance can be given that any implied recommendation will be profitable or will not be subject to losses. Hypothetical Results Are Reported Results and examples used in the Company’s advertisements, books, videos, websites, and other media—including on the Site and the Network—are, in some cases, based on hypothetical (simulated) trades. Plainly speaking, these trades were not actually executed. Hypothetical performance results have certain limitations. Unlike an actual performance record, hypothetical results do not represent actual trading. Also, since the trades have not been executed, the hypothetical results may have under-or-over compensation for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Hypothetical trading programs generally are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. Hypothetical results also do not account for commissions or slippage. The Company’s simulations assume purchase and sale prices believed to be attainable. Yet traders are going to be getting into trades at different times and using various exit approaches, which may result in different pricing and outcomes. You may or may not receive the best available price on the purchase or the sale of a position in actual trading. Information provided by the Company is not investment advice. The Company is not a registered investment adviser, stock broker, or brokerage. You agree that the Company does not represent, warrant, or take responsibility that any account will or is likely to achieve profit or losses similar to those shown. Examples published by the Company are selected for illustrative purposes only. They are not typical and do not represent the typical results of all stocks within the Company’s software or its individual scans and searches. No independent party has audited any hypothetical performance contained at this Web site, nor has any independent party undertaken to confirm that they reflect the trading method under the assumptions or conditions specified.
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Monday, August 21, 2017

TRADE PLAN OF THE WEEK: ProShares UltraShort (QID) is your Trade of the Week

ProShares UltraShort (QID)  is your Trade of the Week

Hello Guys,
For the second week in a row, My Affiliate In Trade Ideas technology is not seeing an edge for any specific long strategy. For those that monitored our A.I. “Holly” last week, you saw little to no action at all for most of the week. If the A.I. is not seeing an edge to go long, this is a “canary in the coal mine” moment for us to study. Recent daily charts of (SPY) and (QQQ) show possible distribution taking place. Distribution is the footprint of institutional selling with high volume over a few scattered long red -candle down days.
The Trade Plan of the Week is to buy ProShares UltraShort  (QID) to establish a defensive short position should the market deteriorate further this week. The trade is considered live above Friday’s high of 16.62. If you currently have some long positions open, you could consider this trade idea as a hedge for your personal portfolio. 
The daily chart of QID looks much like many of the “Trend Change Lubricant” scans that have worked in the past. Only this time we are using an inverted ETF (with some leverage) to participate. The suggested target for this position is the gap fill at 18.95. The suggested stop will be 15.60. So we are risking roughly $1.00 to make $2.30. The entry trigger of 16.63 will be live and open for the entire week.
Footnote:  This is a table showing the maximum profit for past 2017 Trades Plan of the Week. Timing the top is impossible but this table shows how much alpha was possible when considering your personal exit of these positions. The trades outlined in red eventually hit their suggested stop prices, so you can see the importance of timing and harvesting profits along the way when you can, especially those that move above 10%.  We will update this table when needed to bring data more up to date.
*Assumptions
Targets are not absolute. Targets involve timing. Profits can and should be harvested along the way.
Risk to Reward ratio ideal is 1:3
Trades of the week that do not reach entry prices are not considered live and are expired at the end of the current week. (ORCL, HLF and JNPR)
TOW Rules: 20% Rule.  If a performance is up 10% and gives back 20%, take the 8 and run. (Profit Save, Trailing Stop).

Stocks that gap up over the entry price are considered up to the discretion of the buyer as to the entry price (WETF)
Happy investing! 





Our Credo: What's Good for YOU!..Good For Us and vice versa!... Disclaimers Investing is Inherently Risky There are risks inherent in all investments, which may make such investments unsuitable for certain persons. These include, for example, economic, political, currency exchange, rate fluctuations, and limited availability of information on international securities. You may lose all of your money trading and investing. Do NOT enter any trade without fully understanding the worst-case scenarios of that trade. And do NOT trade with money you cannot afford to lose. Past performance of an investment is not necessarily indicative of its future results. No assurance can be given that any implied recommendation will be profitable or will not be subject to losses. Hypothetical Results Are Reported Results and examples used in the Company’s advertisements, books, videos, websites, and other media—including on the Site and the Network—are, in some cases, based on hypothetical (simulated) trades. Plainly speaking, these trades were not actually executed. Hypothetical performance results have certain limitations. Unlike an actual performance record, hypothetical results do not represent actual trading. Also, since the trades have not been executed, the hypothetical results may have under-or-over compensation for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Hypothetical trading programs generally are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. Hypothetical results also do not account for commissions or slippage. The Company’s simulations assume purchase and sale prices believed to be attainable. Yet traders are going to be getting into trades at different times and using various exit approaches, which may result in different pricing and outcomes. You may or may not receive the best available price on the purchase or the sale of a position in actual trading. Information provided by the Company is not investment advice. The Company is not a registered investment adviser, stock broker, or brokerage. You agree that the Company does not represent, warrant, or take responsibility that any account will or is likely to achieve profit or losses similar to those shown. Examples published by the Company are selected for illustrative purposes only. They are not typical and do not represent the typical results of all stocks within the Company’s software or its individual scans and searches. No independent party has audited any hypothetical performance contained at this Web site, nor has any independent party undertaken to confirm that they reflect the trading method under the assumptions or conditions specified.
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Monday, August 14, 2017

TRADE OF THE WEEK: VanEck Vectors Gold Miners ETF ($GDX)

TRADE OF THE WEEK

VanEck Vectors Gold Miners ETF (GDX)
There are sparse ideas to the long side according to the traditional Trade Ideas scans this week. After some damage was done last week in the major market indexes, this week we are seeing more defensive data showing up in a simple sector scan looking for ETF’s that are close to making new 20 day highs. As you can see in the Toplist below, only Gold, Silver and Treasury Bonds are holding up well in this uncertain technical environment.



The daily chart of GDX shows a breakout from a down trending wedge on the daily chart. The Trade of the week in GDX will be live with a print above 23.20. There is a possibility this ETF may gap up on the open. We would not suggest chasing any open above 23.42 but let the price pull back to 23.42 for an entry if that happens. The suggested stop in GDX would be a trade below. 21.95. The potential target will be 25.75.  An ideal 1:2 risk/reward position trading setup.



Footnote:  
This is a table showing the maximum profit for past 2017 Trades of the Week. Timing the top is impossible but this table shows how much alpha was possible when considering your personal exit of these positions. The trades outlined in red eventually hit their suggested stop prices, so you can see the importance of timing and harvesting profits along the way when you can, especially those that move above 10%.  We will update this table when needed to bring data more up to date.



*Assumptions

Targets are not absolute. Targets involve timing. Profits can and should be harvested along the way.

Risk to Reward ratio ideal is 1:3

Trades of the week that do not reach entry prices are not considered live and are expired at the end of the current week. (ORCL, HLF and JNPR)

TOW Rules: 20% Rule.  If a performance is up 10% and gives back 20%, take the 8 and run. (Profit Save, Trailing Stop).

Stocks that gap up over the entry price are considered up to the discretion of the buyer as to the entry price (WETF)
 
Please remember that Trade Ideas does not suggest day trading this type of alert. The idea behind the Trade of the Week is to give our customers opportunities that they may be able to stay in for an extended period of time. Please use proper risk management when making investment decisions





Our Credo: What's Good for YOU!..Good For Us and vice versa!...

 Disclaimers:

 Investing is Inherently Risky There are risks inherent in all investments, which may make such investments unsuitable for certain persons. These include, for example, economic, political, currency exchange, rate fluctuations, and limited availability of information on international securities. You may lose all of your money trading and investing. Do NOT enter any trade without fully understanding the worst-case scenarios of that trade. And do NOT trade with money you cannot afford to lose. Past performance of an investment is not necessarily indicative of its future results. No assurance can be given that any implied recommendation will be profitable or will not be subject to losses. Hypothetical Results Are Reported Results and examples used in the Company’s advertisements, books, videos, websites, and other media—including on the Site and the Network—are, in some cases, based on hypothetical (simulated) trades. Plainly speaking, these trades were not actually executed. Hypothetical performance results have certain limitations. Unlike an actual performance record, hypothetical results do not represent actual trading. Also, since the trades have not been executed, the hypothetical results may have under-or-over compensation for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Hypothetical trading programs generally are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. Hypothetical results also do not account for commissions or slippage. The Company’s simulations assume purchase and sale prices believed to be attainable. Yet traders are going to be getting into trades at different times and using various exit approaches, which may result in different pricing and outcomes. You may or may not receive the best available price on the purchase or the sale of a position in actual trading. Information provided by the Company is not investment advice. The Company is not a registered investment adviser, stock broker, or brokerage. You agree that the Company does not represent, warrant, or take responsibility that any account will or is likely to achieve profit or losses similar to those shown. Examples published by the Company are selected for illustrative purposes only. They are not typical and do not represent the typical results of all stocks within the Company’s software or its individual scans and searches. No independent party has audited any hypothetical performance contained at this Web site, nor has any independent party undertaken to confirm that they reflect the trading method under the assumptions or conditions specified.
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Monday, August 7, 2017

Trade Plan Of The Week-Bristow Group ($BRS)

Money Trade Plan scan labeled “Trend Change Lubricant” is pointing towards a wonderful short squeeze opportunity with a chart pattern emerging from an exceptionally tight range and basing formation. 

Bristow Group (BRS) just had earnings and the company surprised with better than expected results. The percentage of short sellers in this stock is a whopping 64% and they will have to decide what to do if BRS breaks out of this long tight basing range. If they decide to cover their shorts by buying the stock back, we could see a nice short squeeze higher. With a relatively low float of shares in circulation (32 million),                                                                        we see even more reason for continuation out of this tight range.

The Trade Plan of the Week is conditional of a trade above 8.13 in BRS this week.   Should this occur and the trade becomes live, the suggested stop will be 6.95 and the suggested target will be 10.75.  So risking 1.19 to make 2.61 is the type of risk/reward we want to deploy for position trading in this fashion. As always, use only the amount of shares you are willing to risk in case BRS returns to 6.95. If the trade never breaks above 8.13 this week, then the idea will expire.



Footnote:   
This is a table showing the maximum profit for past 2017 Trades Plan of the Week. Timing the top is impossible but this table shows how much alpha was possible when considering your personal exit of these positions. The trades outlined in red eventually hit their suggested stop prices, so you can see the importance of timing and harvesting profits along the way when you can, especially those that move above 10%.  We will update this table when needed to bring data more up to date.



*Assumptions

Targets are not absolute. Targets involve timing. Profits can and should be harvested along the way.

Risk to Reward ratio ideal is 1:3

Trades of the week that do not reach entry prices are not considered live and are expired at the end of the current week. (ORCL, HLF and JNPR)

TOW Rules: 20% Rule.  If a performance is up 10% and gives back 20%, take the 8 and run. (Profit Save, Trailing Stop).

Stocks that gap up over the entry price are considered up to the discretion of the buyer as to the entry price (WETF)







Our Credo: What's Good for YOU!..Good For Us and vice versa!...

 Disclaimers

 Investing is Inherently Risky There are risks inherent in all investments, which may make such investments unsuitable for certain persons. These include, for example, economic, political, currency exchange, rate fluctuations, and limited availability of information on international securities. You may lose all of your money trading and investing. Do NOT enter any trade without fully understanding the worst-case scenarios of that trade. And do NOT trade with money you cannot afford to lose. Past performance of an investment is not necessarily indicative of its future results. No assurance can be given that any implied recommendation will be profitable or will not be subject to losses. Hypothetical Results Are Reported Results and examples used in the Company’s advertisements, books, videos, websites, and other media—including on the Site and the Network—are, in some cases, based on hypothetical (simulated) trades. Plainly speaking, these trades were not actually executed. Hypothetical performance results have certain limitations. Unlike an actual performance record, hypothetical results do not represent actual trading. Also, since the trades have not been executed, the hypothetical results may have under-or-over compensation for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Hypothetical trading programs generally are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. Hypothetical results also do not account for commissions or slippage. The Company’s simulations assume purchase and sale prices believed to be attainable. Yet traders are going to be getting into trades at different times and using various exit approaches, which may result in different pricing and outcomes. You may or may not receive the best available price on the purchase or the sale of a position in actual trading. Information provided by the Company is not investment advice. The Company is not a registered investment adviser, stock broker, or brokerage. You agree that the Company does not represent, warrant, or take responsibility that any account will or is likely to achieve profit or losses similar to those shown. Examples published by the Company are selected for illustrative purposes only. They are not typical and do not represent the typical results of all stocks within the Company’s software or its individual scans and searches. No independent party has audited any hypothetical performance contained at this Web site, nor has any independent party undertaken to confirm that they reflect the trading method under the assumptions or conditions specified.
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