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Tuesday, May 30, 2017


China will be the single most important economy of the 21st century. It's not something you should walk away from but, rather, look to invest in or because of.
I can't think of a better choice to get started than Alibaba Group Holding Ltd. (NYSE: BABA), which dominates Chinese e-commerce there the way that Amazon.com Inc. (Nasdaq: AMZN) does here.
Not many investors realize it, but the Chinese e-commerce market is already the world's largest online retail market with total sales that may hit $1 trillion this year, and $2.416 trillion by 2020, according to eMarketer. More than half of all sales, incidentally, are via mobile devices despite the fact that only 52% of the population is online.
The variables are familiar even if China itself is not.
The middle class of 700 million people is expanding, the Internet is being used to compensate for inefficient retailers, and infrastructure is getting better – which means better delivery.
To put this in perspective, Cainiao – Alibaba's delivery and logistics division – owns 180,000 delivery stations and is rapidly expanding fresh food offerings. Bloomberg reported that Amazon only has 72, including fulfillment, sorting, and AmazonFresh hubs.
If you've ever tried to buy anything in a third-tier Chinese city supermarket, you'll immediately recognize the significance at a time when there are 200 million Chinese who have yet to get online outside first-tier urban areas.
Like Amazon, Alibaba is working on advanced artificial intelligence, autonomous vehicles, and next-generation technologies that will bolster China's economy for decades to come.
Unlike Amazon, however, which considers growth at all costs first and profits second, Alibaba places an emphasis on making money.
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