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Monday, July 24, 2017

Best Trade of the Week: Alibaba Group Holding Ltd. ($BABA) And Sunrun Inc. ($RUN)

Trade of the Week Sunrun Inc. (RUN)  

Hello Guys,
In the interest in staying with what has been working, Trade ideas technology is giving us a few contenders that look to push to new 52 week highs with the help of short sellers capitulating and creating yet another short squeeze in this market environment.  Sunrun Inc. (RUN) has caught our eye as such a candidate from the “Squeeze Me” scan.
The suggested entry price of buying RUN is conditional of the stock trading above 7.35 this week. RUN has earnings in 11 trading days and also a short float of 28%; meaning 28% of the stock holders might start buying their shares back if RUN trades too far above 7.35. This could potentially propel RUN higher over a few days of “short squeezing” the short sellers.
The suggested stop for RUN will be a trade back below 6.85. The suggested near term target on the daily chart will be 8.40 which is a resistance level going back to May of 2016. The risk is 50 cents and the reward is 1 dollar on this Trade of the Week idea. As always size your position to allow for 50 cents of risk should this trade not work. Managing risk is always our number one priority.
Footnote:   This is a table showing the maximum profit for all past 2017 Trades of the Week. Timing the top is impossible but this table shows how much alpha was possible when considering the exit of these positions. The trades outlined in red eventually hit their suggested stop prices, so you can see the importance of timing and harvesting profits along the way when you can, especially those that move above 10%. 
Targets are not absolute. Targets involve timing. Profits can and should be harvested along the way.
Risk to Reward ratio ideal is 1:3
Trades of the week that do not reach entry prices are not considered live and are expired at the end of the current week. (ORCL and JNPR)
TOW Rules: 20% Rule.  If a performance is up 10% and gives back 20%, take the 8 and run. (Profit Save, Trailing Stop).
Stocks that gap up over the entry price are considered up to the discretion of the buyer as to the entry price (WETF)
Option Trade of the Week- The best option idea each week, based on projected potential return, with less than a $5000 investment and no margin requirement.

Call (Bull) Debit Spread on Alibaba Group Holding Ltd. (BABA), current price $152.26)
Buy 10 - October 2017, $150 strike calls for $10.75
Sell 10 - October 2017, $160 strike calls for $6.10

Based upon Trades' projected share price of $159.30 at (or before) expiration on 10/20/17, Return on Investment (ROI) would be 99.36% (including reasonable commission) if BABA rises 4.62% in the next 12 1/2 weeks. Options are suitable for only very aggressive investors.

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Happy investing! 

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