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Thursday, July 6, 2017


The major indices are lower at midday, which is not much of a surprise given
the tensions over North Korea, the G-20 meeting in Germany, and the general
unease of the global political scene at the moment. President Trump meets
with Vladimir Putin tomorrow ahead of the official G-20 talks, so it will be
interesting to see what comes from that meeting. Today's midday pullback is
fairly modest, though, but the Volatility Index (VIX) is back up above 12 at
midday. This shows that there is concern, but we will see if stocks can
reverse as the session unfolds.

On the economic front, we saw a disappointing 158,000 new private sector
jobs from the Automatic Data Processing (ADP) report for June. This number
was down from May's 230,000, and it could be a negative sign for tomorrow's
government jobs number as well. Economists are looking for 179,000 new non-
farm jobs for June, which would be a big improvement from May's dismal
138,000 jobs. The ADP report today was a disappointment, but maybe we will
get a bounce tomorrow

So, while it has been a quiet week so far, the market is likely to heat up as we head into the coming weekend. One bearish opportunity I’m seeing now is in the retail space, specifically involving Costco Wholesale Corporation (NASDAQ:COST).
Buy to open the COST Aug 150 Puts (COST170818P00150000) at $1.49 or lower.

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